New York Mets vs

Atlanta Braves Prediction

The Atlanta Braves are 32-31 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 26-35 on the road this season. The Braves have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Braves starter Joey Wentz is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Nolan McLean. Joey Wentz has a 21% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Nolan McLean has a 13% chance of a QS. If Joey Wentz has a quality start the Braves has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.4 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Braves win 69%. In Nolan McLean quality starts the Mets win 68%. He has a 10% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Atlanta Braves is Joey Wentz who averaged 3.53 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Braves have a 70% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Nolan McLean who averaged 3.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 64% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 51% chance of winning.