St. Louis Cardinals vs

Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Reds starter Andrew Abbott is forecasted to have a better game than Cardinals starter Kyle Leahy. Andrew Abbott has a 52.00% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kyle Leahy has a 41.00% chance of a QS. if (Andrew Abbott has a quality start the Reds has a 80.00% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.1 and he has a 10.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 73.00%. In Kyle Leahy quality starts the Cardinals win 68.00%. He has a 23.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68.00% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Sal Stewart who averaged 2.37 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 70.00% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Lars Nootbaar who averaged 2.16 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 60.00% chance of winning.