Baltimore Orioles vs

Kansas City Royals Prediction

Orioles starter Shane Baz is forecasted to have a better game than Royals starter Kris Bubic. Shane Baz has a 54.00% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Kris Bubic has a 41.00% chance of a QS. if (Shane Baz has a quality start the Orioles has a 74.00% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.1 and he has a 33.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 59.00%. In Kris Bubic quality starts the Royals win 67.00%. He has a 23.00% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 67.00% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Bobby Witt Jr. who averaged 2.33 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 40.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 56.00% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Pete Alonso who averaged 2.26 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37.00% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 69.00% chance of winning.