Washington Nationals vs

Miami Marlins Prediction

The Miami Marlins are 32-39 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 29-42 on the road this season. The Marlins have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Marlins starter Adam Mazur is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Mitchell Parker. Adam Mazur has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Mitchell Parker has a 40% chance of a QS. If Adam Mazur has a quality start the Marlins has a 76% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.4 and he has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Marlins win 58%. In Mitchell Parker quality starts the Nationals win 69%. He has a 22% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Jakob Marsee who averaged 2.48 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 68% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.14 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 59% chance of winning.