New York Mets vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 45-23 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Mets who are 31-40 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Ranger Suarez is forecasted to have a better game than Mets starter Sean Manaea. Ranger Suarez has a 54% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Sean Manaea has a 30% chance of a QS. If Ranger Suarez has a quality start the Phillies has a 83% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.6 and he has a 29% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 71%. In Sean Manaea quality starts the Mets win 60%. He has a 39% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Bryce Harper who averaged 2.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 75% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.2 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 52% chance of winning.