Washington Nationals vs

Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-21 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Washington Nationals who are 26-36 on the road this season. The Phillies have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Phillies starter Taijuan Walker is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals starter Cade Cavalli. Taijuan Walker has a 26% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Cade Cavalli has a 14% chance of a QS. If Taijuan Walker has a quality start the Phillies has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Phillies win 76%. In Cade Cavalli quality starts the Nationals win 63%. He has a 30% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Philadelphia Phillies is Taijuan Walker who averaged 3.46 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 74% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Phillies have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Cade Cavalli who averaged 3.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 66% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 39% chance of winning.