Colorado Rockies vs

Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 36-30 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Colorado Rockies who are 16-46 on the road this season. The Pirates have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Pirates starter Braxton Ashcraft is forecasted to have a better game than Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela. Braxton Ashcraft has a 29% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Antonio Senzatela has a 10% chance of a QS. If Braxton Ashcraft has a quality start the Pirates has a 86% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.3 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Pirates win 68%. In Antonio Senzatela quality starts the Rockies win 69%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 69% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Pittsburgh Pirates is Braxton Ashcraft who averaged 3.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 75% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Pirates have a 74% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Colorado Rockies is Antonio Senzatela who averaged 3.05 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 63% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rockies have a 48% chance of winning.