Cincinnati Reds vs

San Diego Padres Prediction

The San Diego Padres are 43-25 at home this season and the Cincinnati Reds are 32-37 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Yu Darvish has a 48% chance of a QS and Nick Lodolo a 48% chance. If Yu Darvish has a quality start the Padres has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Padres win 53%. If Nick Lodolo has a quality start the Reds has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4 and he has a 36% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Reds win 50%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the San Diego Padres is Manny Machado who averaged 2.1 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Padres have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Cincinnati Reds is Austin Hays who averaged 2.02 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Reds have a 62% chance of winning.