Seattle Mariners vs

Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

The Toronto Blue Jays are 57-29 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Seattle Mariners who are 42-44 on the road this season. The Blue Jays have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Blue Jays starter Shane Bieber is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners starter George Kirby. Shane Bieber has a 52% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while George Kirby has a 42% chance of a QS. If Shane Bieber has a quality start the Blue Jays has a 74% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.8 and he has a 42% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Blue Jays win 61%. In George Kirby quality starts the Mariners win 68%. He has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 68% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Toronto Blue Jays is George Springer who averaged 2.28 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Blue Jays have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Seattle Mariners is Cal Raleigh who averaged 2.12 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mariners have a 61% chance of winning.