New York Mets vs

Washington Nationals Prediction

The Washington Nationals are 25-39 at home this season and the New York Mets are 26-35 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. MacKenzie Gore has a 49% chance of a QS and Sean Manaea a 46% chance. If MacKenzie Gore has a quality start the Nationals has a 68% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.3 and he has a 20% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 48%. If Sean Manaea has a quality start the Mets has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 4.9 and he has a 35% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 53%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is James Wood who averaged 2.21 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 37% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Juan Soto who averaged 2.52 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 44% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 69% chance of winning.