AP Top 25 Week 10 Preview

Our College Football experts break down the biggest games of the AP Top 25 teams

College football is back and week seven once again saw a shake up in the AP rankings. Our experts preview the hottest games of the week and give their picks based on the BetQL computer simulation model. Check out our expert college football picks for week 10.

Vanderbilt 7-1 (8) at Texas 6-2 (20)

After a 30-14 loss to Alabama, Vanderbilt has clawed their way into the top 10 following wins versus LSU and Missouri. As for Texas, they're on a three game winning streak, but have needed overtime to take down Kentucky and Mississippi State in the past two weeks. Both teams are 3-1 in the SEC, but they've got undefeated Texas A&M, Alabama, Georiga and Ole Miss all ahead of them in the standings and rankings.

Vanderbilt is outscoring opponents by nearly 20 points a game with QB Diego Pavia also leading the Commodores in rushing this season. Scoring 38.4 points per game has Vanderbilt ranked 12th in scoring, despite only being ranked 71st in passing and 24th in rushing. If Vanderbilt can get by this game, they still have Tennessee waiting for them as the final game of the regular season.

As for Texas, they're winning by nearly 15 points per game on average, but they're ranked 66th in passing and 90th in rushing this season. QB Arch Manning isn't having the Heisman Season that many predicted he would with 1,795 passing yards, 15 TDS, 6INTs and a 57.4 QBR. With the CFP rankings coming out next week, Texas needs a win to even have a shot of making the playoffs this year.

The BetQL computer model has Texas winning in 65% of its simulations with a projected final score of 24.5-19.5. DraftKings has the spread currently at 2.5. Our tip take the Commodores +2.5 currently at -112.

Check out our full game analysis here.

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Oklahoma 6-2 (18) at Tennessee 6-2 (14)

College football rankings sometimes make me scratch my head and ask how or why? For example how is Oklahoma ranked #18 when they've lost two of their last 3 and Tennessee is ranked #14 despite getting beat by Alabama two weeks ago.

Okay let's get down to the numbers the Sooners are putting up 28.4 PPG while allowing just 12.5. They're 55th in passing and 99th in rushing. If they get by Tennessee, they have Alabama, Missouri and an always dangerous LSU still waiting to close out the season. Oklahoma will need to rely on their defense to contain the Volunteers offense. Tennessee is scoring 45.6 points per game, but allowing over 30 points. They're ranked 3rd in passing and 36th in rushing. Expect this one to be wild and for the score to reflect that.

The BetQL computer model has this one as a 50/50 coin flip with both teams scoring 28.5 points. Our tip: take Oklahoma +3.5 on FanDuel currently at -124.

Check out our full game analysis here.

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Cincinnati 7-1 (17) at Utah 6-2 (24)

The Bearcats are 5-0 in the Big 12 and have won seven straight since losing their first game of the season toe Nebraska. They're scoring 38.3 points per game while allowing opponents to score 19. They're ranked 60th in passing and 31st in rushing. QB Brendan Sorsby has thrown for 1,843 yards and has a 84.8 QBR, 8th best in all college football. Utah bounced back from their 24-21 loss to BYU with a huge 53-7 win over Colorado last week. The utes are ranked in the top 11 in rushing scoring and points allowed this season. A win against Cincinnati would have them in the hunt for the Big 12 title.

The BetQL computer model has the Utes as 14.5 point favorites winning in 88% of its simulations. Our tip: Take Utah -9.5 from ESPNBET currently at -115.

Check out our full game breakdown here

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