AP Top 25 Week 3 Preview

College football is back and week two saw a huge shake up in the AP rankings. Our experts preview the hottest games of the week and give their picks based on the BetQL computer simulation model. Check out our expert college football picks for week 3.

South Florida 2-0 (18) at Miami 2-0 (5)

I know it's only week 2, but South Florida is the only team in College Football to have defeated two AP 25 ranked teams, and has the chance to make it three in a row as they travel to Miami to take on the #5 ranked Hurricanes. Miami took down Notre Dame in Week 1 27-24, and made short work of BCU on Saturday 45-3. South Florida was able to knock off #25 Boise State 34-7 in Week 1 and kicked a last second field goal to topple #13 ranked Florida last week.

Despite two amazing opening games and many thinking that South Florida could be a playoff contender, Draftkings has them as a +525 underdog. I personally think that's a slap in the face, but even a loss could still see the Bulls going 11-1 this season. A much more interesting line is the over/under which is currently at 54.5. none of the games either team has played in have been that high scoring, but the BetQL computer model has the projected total at 60.5 points. We could see the upset of the season this Saturday, but savvy bettors are better off looking at the total and spread as the money line is a real long shot.

Check out our full game analysis here.

Georgia 2-0 (6) at Tennessee 2-0 (15)

Neither team has faced any real competition in their first two weeks, but all that comes to an end as these two SEC powerhouses face off in their first conference games of the season. Tennessee behind QB Joey Aguilar beat Syracuse Week 1 45-26, and followed that up with a 72-17 win against East Tennessee State. As for the Bulldogs, QB Gunner Stockton led his team to a 45-7 win over Marshall in week 1 and a surprisingly low 28-6 win over Austin Peay. Georgia had a lot of miscues in their last game, which they'll need to remedy this week as the Volunteers are a threat both on the ground and through the air.

FanDuel currently have Georgia -205 as a favourite playing at on the road. Everyone agrees this one, at least on paper, looks like it will be close. The BetQL computer model has the Bulldogs winning at Neyland Stadium 66% of the time.

Check out our full game analysis here.

Texas A&M 2-0 (16) at Notre Dame 0-1 (8)

Notre Dame was lost two in a row including a week 1 loss to then #10 ranked Miami on a late FG. They've got their chance at redemption this weekend as the #18 ranked Aggies come to visit. A&M opened week 1 with a 42-24 win over UTSA, followed by a 44-22 victory in week 2 over Utah State. Not really stiff competition for the Aggies, who still have Auburn, LSU, Missouri, South Carolina and Texas to play this season.

Currently, Notre Dame doesn't have any ranked competition left on their schedule, so this is a must win for them if they want to have any real chance of making the CFP. A loss for the Fighting Irish would make it very difficult for anyone to consider them a top-10 team and their strength of schedule would mean going undefeated the rest of the way still might not be enough. It's do or die for Notre Dame this weekend. The BetQL computer model has them as 10 point favorites winning in 78% of its simulations. BetMGM currently has Notre Dame -7 at -110.

Check out our full game breakdown here