Bettina's Expert Picks

Sports betting has long been more than just a sideshow – for many fans, it's an integral part of matchday. Smart betting requires more than just gut feeling: current form, injuries, and above all – accurate data! All of this can make a difference in our information-driven world. For this reason, we've created a column that provides you with three hot tips every week. Gut feeling plays only a minor role. We rely on a special algorithm that transforms all available numbers and data into a lucrative betting tip. We'll reveal the name of the software below.

This week I'm taking a look at the games I've found the best lines for in the Bundesliga and Italian Serie A. Check out my top 3 picks.

Tip 1: Borussia Dortmund vs. 1. FC Cologne

The Westfalen arena is always good for a spectacle, and especially now, because Borussia Dortmund is on a winning streak. They may have lost the classic match against Bayern, but they were successful in the Champions League during the week. With a convincing four-star model rating for their home win against Cologne, the signs point to another victory. The projected probability of victory is an incredible 85% – that's far more than just a tip for the favorite. Their attacking power is also impressive: A predicted full score of 3.16 goals underscores Dortmund's power. Cologne has barely made an impact recently, with only 0.6 expected goals speaking volumes. Dortmund averages just under 13 shots on goal, which creates a constant threat. Everything points to a dominant performance from the Black and Yellows – and that's my prediction. Our software has calculated odds of -533, but ESPNBET offers -230 for a Dortmund win.

Tip 2: Bayer Leverkusen - SC Freiburg

When two teams like Leverkusen and Freiburg face off, we expect a match on equal terms – and that looks like a draw. In recent matches, both Freiburg have been stable and Leverkusen tenacious, so that often there was no clear winner (as was the case in the last meeting). A look at the model rating reveals: Three stars for a draw, which suggests a close game. The projected scores of 0.9 for Freiburg and 1.2 for Leverkusen underscore a close encounter. Although Leverkusen enters the game with a slight advantage, many factors point to a balanced encounter. Both teams have similar shots on goal, and with 2.53 to 3.59, the statistics don't predict an offensive explosion. The probability of one team winning outright also is low. For that reason, my pick is a DRAW. DraftKings is offering +265 which is over 40 points higher than what the BetQL model is projecting.

Tip 3: Napoli - Inter Mailand

A true attacking spectacle awaits us when Inter Milan and Napoli face off. In recent matches, both teams have shown a goal-hungry form, with hardly a game without numerous goals. The model clearly recommends a three-star rating: Over 2.5 goals are realistic here. With a projected total of 3.5 goals, the expected level is well above average. Napoli has a projected full score of 2.33, while Inter contributes another 1.1 goals – together, this creates the ideal conditions for a lively game. Napoli, in particular, brings great potential for an attacking fireworks onto the pitch with 15.05 shots on goal. The 6.41 shots on target also give hope for goals. In recent meetings, goals have been regularly scored on both sides. My betting tip is therefore simple: Over 2.5 goals at odds of +104 with FanDuel.

Promos of the Week – Get More Out Of Your Bet

With the tips just presented, you have a massive advantage just through the betting odds. You can increase this advantage even further by combining your sports betting tips with a betting bonus. In addition to free bets or bet-and-get promotions, odds boosts play a major role with the bookmakers in our betting bonus comparison. Since this column revolves around the number 3, we now present this week's three best promotions:

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• DraftKings: Known for their amazing same game parlays, DraftKings have some of the biggest bet boosts in the industry. Sign up today and get $200 in Bonus Bets instantly.