Sports betting has long been more than just a sideshow – for many fans, it's an integral part of matchday. Smart betting requires more than just gut feeling: current form, injuries, and above all – accurate data! All of this can make a difference in our information-driven world. For this reason, we've created a column that provides you with three hot tips every week. Gut feeling plays only a minor role. We rely on a special algorithm that transforms all available numbers and data into a lucrative betting tip. We'll reveal the name of the software below.
This week I'm taking a look at the games I've found the best lines for in the English Premier League. Check out my top 3 picks.
Manchester City's machine is running at full throttle again – Brighton is the next stop on the road to triumph. The Citizens have demonstrated their class in recent matches, dominating with precise attacking play and giving their opponents little space. Only against Chelsea did they drop crucial points. Brighton & Hove Albion, on the other hand, have fought for every inch in their recent games and rarely found the net. The model rates a City victory with five stars and a probability of 93.9% – a clear statement. With a projected score of 2.95 goals and over eleven shots on target (6.9), their attack is formidable. Brighton only manages 0.5 goals and appears to have no chance in this prediction. We have calculated odds of -1011 for Man City, but bookmakers are offering much better odds. Therefore, we are betting on a Man City victory at odds of -230 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
At home, AFC Bournemouth are the heavy favorites – Tottenham Hotspur face a tough challenge. The Cherries have been only partially convincing in recent matches, but they have faced extremely strong opponents. Tottenham, on the other hand, have shown weaknesses, dropping points against supposedly weaker teams and often appearing unstructured in attack. The model rates a Bournemouth victory with five stars and a probability of 64.7% – a clear endorsement of their home dominance. With a projected score of 1.96 goals and 5.8 shots on target, Bournemouth will bring plenty of fire to the game. Tottenham are only expected to score 1.8 goals and are lagging behind in the prediction. While a Bournemouth victory is not a sure thing, the odds are too attractive to pass up. The tip is: Bournemouth to win at odds of +120 with DraftKings Sportsbook.
A defensive battle is expected: Wolverhampton and Everton are preparing for a low-scoring encounter. Wolves have displayed a solid defense in recent matches, finally celebrating their first win of the season, but have struggled to find the net themselves. Everton have played similarly cautiously, creating few chances and focusing on securing points through control. The model recommends Under 2.5 goals with six stars – a trend confirmed by the current statistics. Both teams have a combined projected goal difference of just 1.20, with Everton at 1.0 and Wolves at 0.20. Shots on goal remain low: Everton at 4.72, Wolves at 2.00. Those betting on Under 2.5 goals benefit from the form of both teams and the conservative predictions. And that's exactly what we're doing: Under 2.5 goals at odds of -130 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Promos of the Week – Get More Out Of Your Bet
With the tips just presented, you have a massive advantage just through the betting odds. You can increase this advantage even further by combining your sports betting tips with a betting bonus. In addition to free bets or bet-and-get promotions, odds boosts play a major role with the bookmakers in our betting bonus comparison. Since this column revolves around the number 3, we now present this week's three best promotions:
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