NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football

NFL Picks: Thursday Night Football

Another week of NFL games is here, and that means it's time to cash some NFL bets! This week's Thursday Night Football clash features the Ravens at the Dolphins, and we've got the inside scoop on where to place your bets.

Our expert team at BetQL has dissected the stats, analyzed player form and scrutinized past performances, all thanks to BetQL, to bring you the most informed NFL picks for this prime-time battle.

Our NFL picks are the result of a thorough process that combines data-driven analysis with a deep understanding of the game. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or just starting out, our NFL picks are tailored to give you the upper hand.

So, join us as we break down the key players, strategies and potential game-changers in this electrifying contest. Below, you’ll see a betting breakdown with expert NFL picks from the BetQL Editorial Team, including sleeper picks and epic sportsbook promotions to cash in on!

As always, BetQL is your one-stop destination for live NFL betting odds, best bets from our NFL model, sharp picks, public bets, line movement data, exclusive articles and much more to help you cash more bets. BetQL subscribers can see all of this week's best bets with game projections, player props, betting trends and more!

MORE: TNF PLAYER PROPS

TNF: Ravens at Dolphins Picks & Best Bets

Ravens Moneyline (-400, ESPNBET)

It's hard to believe that in week 9 of the season you could have two 2 win team playing each other and the moneyline would be so big, but that's what we've got this week. Both the Ravens and the Dolphins were able to pick up their second win of the season last week, with the Ravens taking down the Bears 30-16 and the Dolphins beating the Falcons 34-10.

Despite Tyler Huntley getting the win last week, the Ravens are hoping to have Lamar Jackson back at starting QB this week. Jackson has missed the past three games with a hamstring injury, though he did practice last week before being ruled out against the Bears. The rest of the Ravens' team has seemingly recovered from nagging injuries and could be at full strength as they look to turn their season around in the second half.

The BetQL NFL computer model has the Ravens winning in 65% of its simulations with a projected final score of 29-25.5. While the Dolphins haven't played great, they've only been really blown out once this season. We've got Baltimore winning by 3.5, so the Miami +7.5 currently at -105 could be interesting for bettors looking for a wager with a higher potential payout than the money line.

Check out our fell preview here.

Lamar Jackson Under 234.5 Passing Yards (-114, FanDuel)

Jackson is coming off an injury and hasn't played in nearly a month. We don't know how mobile he'll be due to his hamstring and he was only averaging 217.2 pass yards per game when he was fully healthy.

Derrick Henry Over 18.5 Rushing Attempts (+100 FanDuel)

With Jackson just coming back from injury, look for Henry to continue to "carry" the load. He had 21 attempts versus the Bears last week, and we think he'll have around that many again this week in Miami.

DeAndre Hopkins Over 1.5 receptions (+114 FanDuel)

Hopkins is averaging 1.4 catches per game, so this line is completely justified. With Lamar back under center, look for him to spread the ball around this week. We think Hopkins get's at least 2 catches on Thursday.

Tua Tagovailoa 22+ Pass Completions (-127, DraftKings)

This one may be a stretch, but we've actually got Tua making 25 completions against the Ravens. He's talked about not being able to see his receivers, but hopefully that issue has now been resolved.

DeVon Achane 100+ Receiving and Rushing yards (+105, FanDuel)

Achane is a dual threat for the Dolphins and we've got him getting closer to 120 total yards in this game. He went for over 90 versus the Falcons last week, and we think he'll have an even better showing on Thursday.

Best Sportsbook Promotions

Check out our plays for today's best sportsbook promotions, including odds boosts and more!

2025 Thursday Night Football Schedule

The 2025 NFL schedule is out which means that we have the complete Thursday Night Football schedule. Let’s take a look at the full exciting schedule below:

How To Bet Thursday Night Football

Research the teams: Before placing any Thursday Night Football bets, it's important to gather information about the teams playing. Consider their recent performance, key players, injuries, head-to-head records, and any other relevant factors that may impact the game.

Understand the odds: Familiarize yourself with how NFL betting odds work. Odds indicate the probability of a specific outcome, and they also determine the potential payout. Learn about different types of bets, such as point spreads, moneylines, and over/unders, and consider which type of bet aligns with your betting strategy.

Set a budget: It's crucial to establish a budget for your Thursday Night Football betting activities and stick to it. Only wager what you can afford to lose, and avoid chasing losses by increasing your bets. Responsible bankroll management is key to maintaining a sustainable and enjoyable betting experience.

Shop for the best odds: Different sportsbooks may offer slightly different Thursday Night Football odds for the same game. Take the time to compare odds from multiple bookmakers to ensure you're getting the best value for your bets. Even small differences in odds can significantly impact your overall profitability in the long run.

Consider additional factors: While statistics and trends are important, also consider other factors that may influence the outcome of a Thursday Night Football game. These factors could include weather conditions, home-field advantage, coaching strategies, and team motivation.

Practice self-control: Emotions can often cloud judgment, leading to impulsive or irrational betting decisions. Try to approach sports betting with a calm and logical mindset. Avoid betting on your favorite Thursday Night Football team solely based on loyalty, as it can bias your judgment.

Remember, Thursday Night Football betting involves an element of risk, and there are no guaranteed outcomes. It's essential to gamble responsibly, be mindful of your betting habits, and enjoy the game within your means.

Be sure to consult BetQL’s NFL Model before placing any Thursday Night Football bets. Also see live public betting, sharp betting and line movement data, player prop projections, trending bets and more!

Thursday Night Football Betting Strategy

When it comes to betting on Thursday night NFL games, here are some strategies you can consider:

Research the teams: Analyze the teams' recent performance, including their records, statistics, and key player injuries. Look at their offensive and defensive capabilities, as well as their past performance in prime-time games.

Consider short weeks: Thursday night games usually occur after a shorter week of preparation, which can impact team performance. Take into account how teams have historically fared in these situations, as some may struggle to perform at their usual level due to less rest and recovery time.

Home-field advantage: Assess the impact of home-field advantage on the teams playing. Some teams tend to perform better at home, so consider this factor when making your predictions.

Weather conditions: Keep an eye on the weather forecast for the game. Extreme weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, can significantly affect the outcome and scoring potential. Adjust your betting strategy accordingly.

Line movements and public betting: Pay attention to line movements and public betting trends. These can provide valuable insights into how the majority of bettors are leaning and whether there might be value in taking the contrarian approach.

Prop bets and alternative markets: Look beyond the traditional spread and over/under bets. Prop bets, player performance bets, and alternative markets can offer interesting opportunities, especially if you have in-depth knowledge about specific players or matchups.

Manage your bankroll: Set a budget for your wagers and avoid chasing losses. It's important to bet responsibly and not wager more than you can afford to lose. Develop a staking plan and stick to it, adjusting your bet sizes based on your confidence in each pick.

Remember, betting on sports is inherently risky, and there are no guaranteed strategies for success. These tips are meant to provide a framework for making informed decisions, but ultimately, outcomes can be unpredictable. Exercise caution and always gamble responsibly.